Raul Neto
PG · 2013 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #47 (ATL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #67 (#16 at his position); he went #47, 20 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.1 years old on draft night (born 1992-05-19).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Minas Gerais, Brazil.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 4" at 6' 2" tall (+2.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 435 games over 8 NBA seasons (~66% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 8 |
| Games | 435 |
| Minutes / game | 15.6 |
| Points / game | 5.7 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.5 |
| Assists / game | 2.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 11.6 |
| VORP | 0.8 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.5 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 179 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 4" |
| Age on draft night | 21.1 |
| Born | Minas Gerais, Brazil |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #67 overall (#16 PG) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 44 | Mike Muscala | redraft #16 |
| 45 | Marko Todorović | redraft #53 |
| 46 | Erick Green | redraft #41 |
| 48 | Ryan Kelly | redraft #34 |
| 49 | Erik Murphy | redraft #42 |
| 50 | James Ennis III | redraft #19 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.