Devin Harris
PG, Wisconsin · 2004 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #5 (WAS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 985 games over 15 NBA seasons (~80% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #7 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#5).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.3 years old on draft night (born 1983-02-27).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Wisconsin.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 15 |
| Games | 985 |
| Minutes / game | 24.3 |
| Points / game | 10.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.2 |
| Assists / game | 3.9 |
| Win Shares (career) | 54.9 |
| VORP | 15.5 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.6 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 175 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.3 |
| Born | 1983-02-27 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #7 overall (#3 PG) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 2 | Emeka Okafor | redraft #13 |
| 3 | Ben Gordon | redraft #14 |
| 4 | Shaun Livingston | redraft #20 |
| 6 | Josh Childress | redraft #17 |
| 7 | Luol Deng | redraft #3 |
| 8 | Rafael Araújo | redraft #42 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.