Ben Gordon

PG, UConn · 2004 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #3 (CHI)

Drafted#3CHI · 2004
Redraft rank#14of 59 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #3~#102000–2021 median
VerdictBelow his slot · -4spots vs. typical

Why he went too high Patterns

Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a risk: his profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #6 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#3).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Age

    21.2 years old on draft night (born 1983-04-04).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Path to the draft

    Played college basketball at UConn.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    PG (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 744 games over 11 NBA seasons (~82% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.

Career numbers

Seasons11
Games744
Minutes / game27.4
Points / game14.9
Rebounds / game2.5
Assists / game2.5
Win Shares (career)33.3
VORP8.7
Box Plus/Minus-0.3

The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

11151530304545Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Dwight Howard: pick 1 → redraft 1Emeka Okafor: pick 2 → redraft 13Shaun Livingston: pick 4 → redraft 20Devin Harris: pick 5 → redraft 8Josh Childress: pick 6 → redraft 17Luol Deng: pick 7 → redraft 3Rafael Araújo: pick 8 → redraft 42Andre Iguodala: pick 9 → redraft 2Luke Jackson: pick 10 → redraft 34Andris Biedriņš: pick 11 → redraft 19Robert Swift: pick 12 → redraft 30Sebastian Telfair: pick 13 → redraft 25Kris Humphries: pick 14 → redraft 22Al Jefferson: pick 15 → redraft 5Kirk Snyder: pick 16 → redraft 24Josh Smith: pick 17 → redraft 4J.R. Smith: pick 18 → redraft 9Dorell Wright: pick 19 → redraft 15Jameer Nelson: pick 20 → redraft 10Pavel Podkolzin: pick 21 → redraft 38Viktor Khryapa: pick 22 → redraft 28Sergei Monia: pick 23 → redraft 41Delonte West: pick 24 → redraft 16Tony Allen: pick 25 → redraft 12Kevin Martin: pick 26 → redraft 7Sasha Vujačić: pick 27 → redraft 23Beno Udrih: pick 28 → redraft 18David Harrison: pick 29 → redraft 27Anderson Varejão: pick 30 → redraft 11Jackson Vroman: pick 31 → redraft 44Peter John Ramos: pick 32 → redraft 46Lionel Chalmers: pick 33 → redraft 40Donta Smith: pick 34 → redraft 33Andre Emmett: pick 35 → redraft 36Antonio Burks: pick 36 → redraft 35Royal Ivey: pick 37 → redraft 26Chris Duhon: pick 38 → redraft 21Albert Miralles: pick 39 → redraft 47Justin Reed: pick 40 → redraft 32David Young: pick 41 → redraft 48Viktor Sanikidze: pick 42 → redraft 49Trevor Ariza: pick 43 → redraft 6Tim Pickett: pick 44 → redraft 50Bernard Robinson: pick 45 → redraft 29Ha Seung-Jin: pick 46 → redraft 39Pape Sow: pick 47 → redraft 31Ricky Minard: pick 48 → redraft 51Sergei Lishouk: pick 49 → redraft 52Vassilis Spanoulis: pick 50 → redraft 37Christian Drejer: pick 51 → redraft 53Romain Sato: pick 52 → redraft 54Matt Freije: pick 53 → redraft 43Rickey Paulding: pick 54 → redraft 55Luis Flores: pick 55 → redraft 45Marcus Douthit: pick 56 → redraft 56Sergei Karaulov: pick 57 → redraft 57Blake Stepp: pick 58 → redraft 58Rashad Wright: pick 59 → redraft 59

Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Pre-draft rankings
Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank
51.8%
n=765
Age
21
47.6%
n=286
Path to the draft
US college
53.2%
n=1,015
Position
Guard
48.9%
n=499

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 2", 192 lbs
Age on draft night21.2
Born1983-04-04
ESPN pre-draft rank#6 overall (#2 PG)

Picked around him 2004 redraft

1Dwight Howardredraft #1
2Emeka Okaforredraft #13
4Shaun Livingstonredraft #20
5Devin Harrisredraft #8
6Josh Childressredraft #17

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.