Danté Exum
PG · 2014 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #5 (UTA)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Melbourne, Australia.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 320 games over 8 NBA seasons (~49% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #3 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#5).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.0 years old on draft night (born 1995-07-13).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 10" at 6' 6" tall (+4.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 8 |
| Games | 320 |
| Minutes / game | 18.8 |
| Points / game | 6.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.9 |
| Assists / game | 2.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 6.6 |
| VORP | -1.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.8 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 196 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 10" |
| Age on draft night | 19.0 |
| Born | Melbourne, Australia |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #3 overall (#1 PG) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 2 | Jabari Parker | redraft #23 |
| 3 | Joel Embiid | redraft #2 |
| 4 | Aaron Gordon | redraft #5 |
| 6 | Marcus Smart | redraft #12 |
| 7 | Julius Randle | redraft #4 |
| 8 | Nik Stauskas | redraft #28 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.