Chris Owens
PF, Texas · 2002 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #48 (MIL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 1 games over 1 NBA season (~1% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #15 overall (#30 at his position), but he lasted until pick #48: teams let him slide 33 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.3 years old on draft night (born 1979-03-01).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Texas.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 1 |
| Minutes / game | 6.0 |
| Points / game | 4.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.0 |
| Assists / game | 0.0 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.0 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.5 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 8", 245 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 23.3 |
| Born | Duncanville, TX |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #15 overall (#30 PF) |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 45 | Sam Clancy | redraft #53 |
| 46 | Matt Barnes | redraft #8 |
| 47 | Jamal Sampson | redraft #32 |
| 49 | Peter Fehse | redraft #54 |
| 50 | Darius Songaila | redraft #17 |
| 51 | Federico Kammerichs | redraft #55 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.