Bol Bol
C, Oregon · 2019 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #44 (MIA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #14 overall (#2 at his position), but he lasted until pick #44: teams let him slide 30 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.6 years old on draft night (born 1999-11-16).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Oregon.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 202 games over 6 NBA seasons (~41% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 202 |
| Minutes / game | 13.6 |
| Points / game | 6.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.5 |
| Assists / game | 0.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 5.0 |
| VORP | 1.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.4 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2019 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2019 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 3", 208 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.6 |
| Born | 1999-11-16 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #14 overall (#2 C) |
Picked around him 2019 redraft
| 41 | Eric Paschall | redraft #29 |
| 42 | Admiral Schofield | redraft #38 |
| 43 | Jaylen Nowell | redraft #31 |
| 45 | Isaiah Roby | redraft #32 |
| 46 | Talen Horton-Tucker | redraft #27 |
| 47 | Ignas Brazdeikis | redraft #42 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.