Armon Johnson
PG, Nevada · 2010 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #34 (POR)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 47 games over 2 NBA seasons (~29% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #36 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#34).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.3 years old on draft night (born 1989-02-23).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Nevada.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 8" at 6' 4" tall (+4.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 47 |
| Minutes / game | 8.5 |
| Points / game | 3.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.1 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -4.1 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 195 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 8" |
| Age on draft night | 21.3 |
| Born | Reno, Nev. |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #36 overall (#3 PG) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 31 | Tibor Pleiß | redraft #43 |
| 32 | Dexter Pittman | redraft #36 |
| 33 | Hassan Whiteside | redraft #7 |
| 35 | Nemanja Bjelica | redraft #13 |
| 36 | Terrico White | redraft #52 |
| 37 | Darington Hobson | redraft #45 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.