Zack Kuntz
TE, Old Dominion · 2023 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #220 (NYJ)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
The 2023 class is only 3 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 2 of ~34 possible regular-season games from 2023 through 2024 (~6%). Last NFL season: 2024.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #138 overall (#11 at his position), but he lasted until pick #220: teams let him slide 82 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Old Dominion: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.55 40-yard dash at 255 lbs: faster than 89% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 2 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 0.0 |
| Last NFL season | 2024 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2023 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2023 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 255 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.55 s |
| Bench press | 23 reps |
| Vertical | 40" |
| Broad jump | 128" |
| 3-cone | 6.87 s |
| Shuttle | 4.12 s |
| Arm / hand | 34" / 10.25" |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #138 overall (#11 TE) |
Picked around him 2023 redraft
| 217 | Brad Robbins | redraft #206 |
| 218 | Travis Bell | redraft #248 |
| 219 | Antoine Green | redraft #236 |
| 221 | Jaylon Jones | redraft #78 |
| 222 | DeWayne McBride | redraft #255 |
| 223 | Ethan Evans | redraft #123 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.