William Bradley-King
OLB, Baylor · 2021 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #240 (WAS)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 4 of ~34 possible regular-season games from 2021 through 2022 (~12%). Last NFL season: 2022.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #172 overall (#15 at his position), but he lasted until pick #240: teams let him slide 68 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Baylor: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.74 40-yard dash at 252 lbs: faster than 24% of LBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
OLB (LB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.8% of the time (701 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 4 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 0.0 |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0.5 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2022 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2021 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2021 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position LB | 56.8% n=701 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 252 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.74 s |
| Vertical | 34.5" |
| Broad jump | 119" |
| 3-cone | 7.14 s |
| Shuttle | 4.26 s |
| Arm / hand | 33.25" / 10.25" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #172 overall (#15 OLB) |
Picked around him 2021 redraft
| 237 | Kary Vincent Jr. | redraft #243 |
| 238 | Matt Farniok | redraft #182 |
| 239 | Jonathon Cooper | redraft #27 |
| 241 | Mark Webb | redraft #225 |
| 242 | Tre Nixon | redraft #256 |
| 243 | James Wiggins | redraft #239 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.