Tye Hill
DB, Clemson · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #15 (STL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 40 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2010 (~50%). Last NFL season: 2010.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #26 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#15).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Clemson: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.34 40-yard dash at 185 lbs: faster than 95% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 40 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 9 |
| Defense | 117 tackles, 0 sacks, 5 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2010 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 185 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.34 s |
| Vertical | 41" |
| Broad jump | 129" |
| 3-cone | 6.63 s |
| Shuttle | 4.01 s |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #26 overall (#5 DB) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 12 | Haloti Ngata | redraft #2 |
| 13 | Kamerion Wimbley | redraft #44 |
| 14 | Brodrick Bunkley | redraft #50 |
| 16 | Jason Allen | redraft #111 |
| 17 | Chad Greenway | redraft #14 |
| 18 | Bobby Carpenter | redraft #124 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.