Haloti Ngata
DT, Oregon · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #12 (BAL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 180 of ~208 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2018 (~87%). Last NFL season: 2018.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #10 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#12).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Oregon: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.13 40-yard dash at 338 lbs: faster than 15% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 180 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 12 |
| Pro Bowls | 5 |
| First-team All-Pro | 2 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 100 |
| Defense | 329 tackles, 32.5 sacks, 5 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 338 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.13 s |
| Bench press | 37 reps |
| Vertical | 31.5" |
| Broad jump | 110" |
| 3-cone | 7.95 s |
| Shuttle | 4.65 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #10 overall (#2 DT) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 9 | Ernie Sims | redraft #74 |
| 10 | Matt Leinart | redraft #114 |
| 11 | Jay Cutler | redraft #4 |
| 13 | Kamerion Wimbley | redraft #44 |
| 14 | Brodrick Bunkley | redraft #50 |
| 15 | Tye Hill | redraft #131 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.