Tutu Atwell
WR, Louisville · 2021 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #57 (LAR)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #44 (#7 at his position), close to where he went (#57).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Louisville: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.42 40-yard dash at 155 lbs: faster than 69% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 63 of ~85 possible regular-season games from 2021 through 2025 (~74%). Plus 4 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 67 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 14 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.5 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 14.5 |
| Passing | undefined/1, 0 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 16 att, 72 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 108 rec, 1,566 yds, 5 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2021 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2021 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 8", 155 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.42 s |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 117" |
| 3-cone | 6.89 s |
| Shuttle | 4.14 s |
| Arm / hand | 29.25" / 8.88" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #44 overall (#7 WR) |
Picked around him 2021 redraft
| 54 | Dayo Odeyingbo | redraft #81 |
| 55 | Pat Freiermuth | redraft #48 |
| 56 | D'Wayne Eskridge | redraft #168 |
| 58 | Nick Bolton | redraft #25 |
| 59 | Terrace Marshall Jr. | redraft #140 |
| 60 | Pete Werner | redraft #26 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.