Tommy Bohanon
RB, Wake Forest · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #215 (NYJ)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #257 (#1 at his position); he went #215, 42 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Wake Forest: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.88 40-yard dash at 246 lbs: faster than 2% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 68 of ~96 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2018 (~71%). Last NFL season: 2018.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 68 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 1 |
| Rushing | 26 att, 72 yds, 2 TD |
| Receiving | 29 rec, 239 yds, 1 TD |
| Defense | 3 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 246 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.88 s |
| Bench press | 36 reps |
| Vertical | 35" |
| Broad jump | 119" |
| 3-cone | 7.27 s |
| Shuttle | 4.42 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.1" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #257 overall (#1 RB) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 212 | Joe Kruger | redraft #245 |
| 213 | Michael Mauti | redraft #150 |
| 214 | Travis Bond | redraft #227 |
| 216 | Charles Johnson | redraft #143 |
| 217 | Armonty Bryant | redraft #157 |
| 218 | Jordan Poyer | redraft #17 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.