Jordan Poyer
DB, Oregon St. · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #218 (PHI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, age, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #107 overall (#14 at his position), but he lasted until pick #218: teams let him slide 111 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 181 of ~213 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2025 (~85%).
- School
Oregon St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.54 40-yard dash at 191 lbs: faster than 27% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 181 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 9 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 57 |
| Rushing | 1 att, 10 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 648 tackles, 12.5 sacks, 25 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2025 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 191 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.54 s |
| Bench press | 8 reps |
| Vertical | 30.5" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 6.87 s |
| Shuttle | 4.18 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.6" / 9.6" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #107 overall (#14 DB) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 215 | Tommy Bohanon | redraft #192 |
| 216 | Charles Johnson | redraft #143 |
| 217 | Armonty Bryant | redraft #157 |
| 219 | D.C. Jefferson | redraft #220 |
| 220 | Ryan Seymour | redraft #191 |
| 221 | Brad Sorensen | redraft #246 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.