Tim Jennings
DB, Georgia · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #62 (IND)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 137 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2015 (~86%). Last NFL season: 2015.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #122 (#15 at his position); he went #62, 60 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Georgia: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.32 40-yard dash at 185 lbs: faster than 97% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 137 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 43 |
| Defense | 396 tackles, 0 sacks, 20 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 8", 185 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.32 s |
| Bench press | 17 reps |
| Vertical | 37.5" |
| Broad jump | 117" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #122 overall (#15 DB) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 59 | Jeremy Trueblood | redraft #60 |
| 60 | Maurice Jones-Drew | redraft #9 |
| 61 | Tony Scheffler | redraft #83 |
| 63 | Darryl Tapp | redraft #72 |
| 64 | Tarvaris Jackson | redraft #87 |
| 65 | Charles Spencer | redraft #196 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.