Theo Riddick
RB, Notre Dame · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #199 (DET)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Notre Dame: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.68 40-yard dash at 201 lbs: faster than 10% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 88 of ~128 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2020 (~69%). Last NFL season: 2020.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 88 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 24 |
| Rushing | 294 att, 1,037 yds, 5 TD |
| Receiving | 290 rec, 2,281 yds, 14 TD |
| Defense | 15 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2020 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 201 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.68 s |
| Vertical | 32" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| Arm / hand | 30" / 8.6" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 196 | Jeff Baca | redraft #219 |
| 197 | Cobi Hamilton | redraft #190 |
| 198 | Chris Jones | redraft #102 |
| 200 | Kapron Lewis-Moore | redraft #215 |
| 201 | Ryan Griffin | redraft #96 |
| 202 | Khalid Wooten | redraft #223 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.