Terry Jones
TE, Alabama · 2002 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #155 (BAL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Alabama: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.79 40-yard dash at 265 lbs: faster than 29% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 53 of ~64 possible regular-season games from 2002 through 2005 (~83%). Last NFL season: 2005.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 53 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 5 |
| Receiving | 59 rec, 493 yds, 5 TD |
| Defense | 2 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2005 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 265 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.79 s |
| Bench press | 20 reps |
| Vertical | 33.5" |
| Broad jump | 111" |
| 3-cone | 7.43 s |
| Shuttle | 4.43 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 152 | Nick Greisen | redraft #82 |
| 153 | Ramon Walker | redraft #159 |
| 154 | Jonathan Goodwin | redraft #14 |
| 156 | Aaron Kampman | redraft #16 |
| 157 | Jermaine Phillips | redraft #59 |
| 158 | Kurt Kittner | redraft #186 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.