Kurt Kittner
QB, Illinois · 2002 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #158 (ATL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 7 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2002 through 2003 (~22%). Last NFL season: 2003.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Illinois: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.86 40-yard dash at 221 lbs: faster than 34% of QBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 7 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 1 |
| Passing | 44/114, 391 yds, 2 TD, 6 INT |
| Rushing | 8 att, 13 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2003 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 221 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.86 s |
| Vertical | 27" |
| Broad jump | 100" |
| 3-cone | 7.34 s |
| Shuttle | 4.5 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 155 | Terry Jones | redraft #144 |
| 156 | Aaron Kampman | redraft #16 |
| 157 | Jermaine Phillips | redraft #59 |
| 159 | Andre Lott | redraft #147 |
| 160 | Robert Royal | redraft #124 |
| 161 | Omare Lowe | redraft #174 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.