Taylor Hart
DE, Oregon · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #141 (PHI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 15 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2016 (~31%). Last NFL season: 2016.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #117 (#11 at his position), close to where he went (#141).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Oregon: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.92 40-yard dash at 281 lbs: faster than 47% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DE (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 15 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 1 |
| Defense | 13 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2016 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 281 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.92 s |
| Bench press | 21 reps |
| Arm / hand | 32.6" / 10.1" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #117 overall (#11 DE) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 138 | Lorenzo Taliaferro | redraft #166 |
| 139 | Prince Shembo | redraft #181 |
| 140 | Cameron Fleming | redraft #57 |
| 142 | Ryan Grant | redraft #115 |
| 143 | Kadeem Edwards | redraft #230 |
| 144 | Telvin Smith | redraft #31 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.