Stedman Bailey
WR, West Virginia · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #92 (STL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #75 (#10 at his position), close to where he went (#92).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
West Virginia: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.52 40-yard dash at 193 lbs: faster than 29% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 38 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2015 (~79%). Last NFL season: 2015.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 38 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 7 |
| Rushing | 3 att, 46 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 59 rec, 843 yds, 2 TD |
| Defense | 9 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 193 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.52 s |
| Bench press | 11 reps |
| Vertical | 34.5" |
| Broad jump | 117" |
| 3-cone | 6.81 s |
| Shuttle | 4.09 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.3" / 9.7" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #75 overall (#10 WR) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 89 | Brennan Williams | redraft #232 |
| 90 | Kayvon Webster | redraft #127 |
| 91 | Duron Harmon | redraft #51 |
| 93 | Will Davis | redraft #205 |
| 94 | Brandon Williams | redraft #19 |
| 95 | Sam Montgomery | redraft #233 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.