Shawn Williams
DB, Georgia · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #84 (CIN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 125 of ~145 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2021 (~86%). Last NFL season: 2021.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #190 (#15 at his position); he went #84, 106 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Georgia: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.46 40-yard dash at 213 lbs: faster than 61% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 125 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 4 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 25 |
| Rushing | 2 att, 46 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 318 tackles, 3 sacks, 12 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2021 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 213 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.46 s |
| Bench press | 25 reps |
| Vertical | 36" |
| Broad jump | 120" |
| 3-cone | 7.01 s |
| Shuttle | 4.25 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.6" / 8.3" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #190 overall (#15 DB) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 81 | Damontre Moore | redraft #155 |
| 82 | John Jenkins | redraft #49 |
| 83 | Logan Ryan | redraft #33 |
| 85 | Jordan Reed | redraft #62 |
| 86 | Hugh Thornton | redraft #87 |
| 87 | Jordan Hill | redraft #146 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.