Shawn Andrews
G, Arkansas · 2004 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #16 (PHI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 63 of ~112 possible regular-season games from 2004 through 2010 (~56%). Last NFL season: 2010.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #20 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#16).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Arkansas: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.49 40-yard dash at 366 lbs: faster than 5% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
G (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 63 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 35 |
| Last NFL season | 2010 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 366 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.49 s |
| Bench press | 27 reps |
| Vertical | 25" |
| Broad jump | 98" |
| 3-cone | 8.25 s |
| Shuttle | 4.85 s |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #20 overall (#2 G) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 13 | Lee Evans | redraft #26 |
| 14 | Tommie Harris | redraft #18 |
| 15 | Michael Clayton | redraft #78 |
| 17 | D.J. Williams | redraft #25 |
| 18 | Will Smith | redraft #23 |
| 19 | Vernon Carey | redraft #32 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.