Sam Hubbard
DE, Ohio St. · 2018 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #77 (CIN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 104 of ~116 possible regular-season games from 2018 through 2024 (~90%). Last NFL season: 2024.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #65 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#77). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Ohio St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Combine
Invited to the Combine but no 40 time on record (skipped or injured).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (4,704 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DE (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 104 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 40 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 40.0 |
| Receiving | 1 rec, 2 yds, 1 TD |
| Defense | 236 tackles, 38.5 sacks, 1 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2024 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Combine Invited to the Combine | 50.6% n=4,704 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 270 lbs |
| Vertical | 35" |
| Broad jump | 116" |
| 3-cone | 6.84 s |
| Shuttle | 4.32 s |
| Arm / hand | 33.13" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #65 overall (#4 DE) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 74 | Geron Christian | redraft #129 |
| 75 | Derrick Nnadi | redraft #45 |
| 76 | Mason Rudolph | redraft #144 |
| 78 | Malik Jefferson | redraft #196 |
| 79 | Rasheem Green | redraft #104 |
| 80 | Martinas Rankin | redraft #162 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.