Ryan Nassib
QB, Syracuse · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #110 (NYG)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 5 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2015 (~10%). Last NFL season: 2015.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #36 overall (#2 at his position), but he lasted until pick #110: teams let him slide 74 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Syracuse: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.06 40-yard dash at 227 lbs: faster than 6% of QBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 5 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Passing | 9/10, 128 yds, 1 TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 2 att, -3 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 227 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.06 s |
| Vertical | 28.5" |
| Broad jump | 105" |
| 3-cone | 7.34 s |
| Shuttle | 4.53 s |
| Arm / hand | 32" / 10.1" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #36 overall (#2 QB) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 107 | Brian Schwenke | redraft #95 |
| 108 | Edmund Kugbila | redraft #234 |
| 109 | David Bakhtiari | redraft #3 |
| 111 | Shamarko Thomas | redraft #156 |
| 112 | Tyler Wilson | redraft #235 |
| 113 | Barrett Jones | redraft #210 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.