Brian Schwenke
C, California · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #107 (TEN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, age, position. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #73 overall (#2 at his position), but he lasted until pick #107: teams let him slide 34 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
California: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.99 40-yard dash at 314 lbs: faster than 90% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 60 of ~96 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2018 (~63%). Last NFL season: 2018.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 60 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 2 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 14 |
| Receiving | 1 rec, 6 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 314 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.99 s |
| Bench press | 31 reps |
| Vertical | 26.5" |
| Broad jump | 108" |
| 3-cone | 7.31 s |
| Shuttle | 4.74 s |
| Arm / hand | 32" / 10.2" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #73 overall (#2 C) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 104 | Jelani Jenkins | redraft #92 |
| 105 | Duke Williams | redraft #131 |
| 106 | Dion Sims | redraft #135 |
| 108 | Edmund Kugbila | redraft #234 |
| 109 | David Bakhtiari | redraft #3 |
| 110 | Ryan Nassib | redraft #213 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.