Quinnen Williams
DT, Alabama · 2019 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #3 (NYJ)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 105 of ~117 possible regular-season games from 2019 through 2025 (~90%). Plus 6 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #2 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#3).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Alabama: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.83 40-yard dash at 303 lbs: faster than 64% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 111 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 4 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 57 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1.9 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 58.9 |
| Defense | 217 tackles, 43.5 sacks, 2 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2019 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2019 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 303 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.83 s |
| Vertical | 30.5" |
| Broad jump | 112" |
| Arm / hand | 33.25" / 9.63" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #2 overall (#1 DT) |
Picked around him 2019 redraft
| 1 | Kyler Murray | redraft #2 |
| 2 | Nick Bosa | redraft #7 |
| 4 | Clelin Ferrell | redraft #68 |
| 5 | Devin White | redraft #16 |
| 6 | Daniel Jones | redraft #10 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.