Nick Barnett
LB, Oregon St. · 2003 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #29 (GNB)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
LB (LB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.8% of the time (701 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 153 of ~176 possible regular-season games from 2003 through 2013 (~87%). Last NFL season: 2013.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Oregon St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.67 40-yard dash at 236 lbs: faster than 42% of LBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 153 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 9 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 60 |
| Defense | 732 tackles, 20.5 sacks, 12 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2013 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Position LB | 56.8% n=701 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 236 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.67 s |
| Bench press | 32 reps |
| Vertical | 34.5" |
| Broad jump | 123" |
| 3-cone | 7 s |
| Shuttle | 4.08 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 26 | Kwame Harris | redraft #79 |
| 27 | Larry Johnson | redraft #26 |
| 28 | Andre Woolfolk | redraft #140 |
| 30 | Sammy Davis | redraft #114 |
| 31 | Nnamdi Asomugha | redraft #17 |
| 32 | Tyler Brayton | redraft #46 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.