Montee Ball
RB, Wisconsin · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #58 (DEN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a risk: his profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #57 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#58).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Wisconsin: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.66 40-yard dash at 214 lbs: faster than 13% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 21 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2014 (~66%). Last NFL season: 2014.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 21 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 7 |
| Rushing | 175 att, 731 yds, 5 TD |
| Receiving | 29 rec, 207 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 6 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 214 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.66 s |
| Bench press | 15 reps |
| Vertical | 32" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 6.88 s |
| Shuttle | 4.4 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.5" / 9" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #57 overall (#2 RB) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 55 | Vance McDonald | redraft #98 |
| 56 | Arthur Brown | redraft #175 |
| 57 | D.J. Swearinger | redraft #55 |
| 59 | Aaron Dobson | redraft #148 |
| 60 | Robert Alford | redraft #59 |
| 61 | Eddie Lacy | redraft #41 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.