Mike Scifres
P, Western Illinois · 2003 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #149 (SDG)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
P (ST group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68% of the time (97 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 195 of ~208 possible regular-season games from 2003 through 2015 (~94%). Last NFL season: 2015.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Western Illinois: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.91 40-yard dash at 236 lbs: faster than 35% of STs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 195 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 23 |
| Passing | 1/3, 28 yds, undefined TD, 1 INT |
| Rushing | 1 att, -7 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 10 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Position ST | 68.0% n=97 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 236 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.91 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 146 | Aubrayo Franklin | redraft #41 |
| 147 | James Lee | redraft #195 |
| 148 | Dan Curley | redraft #232 |
| 150 | Matt Walters | redraft #192 |
| 151 | Ben Sobieski | redraft #233 |
| 152 | Michael Lehan | redraft #125 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.