Dan Curley
FB, Eastern Washington · 2003 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #148 (STL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
25 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 1 of ~16 possible regular-season games from 2003 through 2003 (~6%). Last NFL season: 2003.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Eastern Washington: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.63 40-yard dash at 254 lbs: faster than 19% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
FB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 1 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Last NFL season | 2003 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 254 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.63 s |
| Bench press | 17 reps |
| Vertical | 35.5" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 7.47 s |
| Shuttle | 4.53 s |
| Age at draft | 25 |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 145 | Kindal Moorehead | redraft #104 |
| 146 | Aubrayo Franklin | redraft #41 |
| 147 | James Lee | redraft #195 |
| 149 | Mike Scifres | redraft #73 |
| 150 | Matt Walters | redraft #192 |
| 151 | Ben Sobieski | redraft #233 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.