Michael Waddell

DB, North Carolina · 2004 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #124 (TEN)

Drafted#124TEN · 2004

Redraft rank#141of 255 picks

Typical redraft rank for pick #124~#1342000–2021 median

VerdictBelow his slot · -7spots vs. typical

Why he went too high Patterns

Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.

Availability
Played 33 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2004 through 2008 (~41%). Last NFL season: 2008.
Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
School
North Carolina: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Athletic testing
Ran a 4.31 40-yard dash at 187 lbs: faster than 98% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.

Career numbers

Games	33
Seasons as primary starter	0
Pro Bowls	0
First-team All-Pro	0
Career wAV (Pro Football Reference)	4
Defense	60 tackles, 0.5 sacks, 1 INT
Last NFL season	2008

The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Age 23		50.4% n=2,127
School Power-conference school		50.3% n=4,181
Athletic testing Top 25% at his position		51.6% n=973
Position DB		50.7% n=1,116

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight	5' 11", 187 lbs
40-yard dash	4.31 s
Bench press	14 reps
Vertical	37.5"
Broad jump	121"
3-cone	6.84 s
Shuttle	4.03 s
Age at draft	23

Picked around him 2004 redraft

121	Bruce Thornton	redraft #152
122	Glenn Earl	redraft #105
123	Stacy Andrews	redraft #77
125	Jason David	redraft #73
126	Jared Allen	redraft #4
127	Richard Seigler	redraft #204

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.