Michael Roos
T, Eastern Washington · 2005 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #41 (TEN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
T (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 148 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2005 through 2014 (~93%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #131 (#12 at his position); he went #41, 90 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Eastern Washington: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.30 40-yard dash at 320 lbs: faster than 28% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 148 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 9 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 63 |
| Receiving | 1 rec, -7 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 320 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.30 s |
| Bench press | 19 reps |
| Vertical | 29" |
| Broad jump | 97" |
| 3-cone | 7.72 s |
| Shuttle | 4.5 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #131 overall (#12 T) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 38 | Stanford Routt | redraft #79 |
| 39 | Mark Bradley | redraft #119 |
| 40 | Josh Bullocks | redraft #81 |
| 42 | Kevin Burnett | redraft #41 |
| 43 | Corey Webster | redraft #57 |
| 44 | J.J. Arrington | redraft #107 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.