Mario Manningham
WR, Michigan · 2008 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #95 (NYG)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, age. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #53 overall (#7 at his position), but he lasted until pick #95: teams let him slide 42 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Michigan: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.59 40-yard dash at 181 lbs: faster than 9% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 67 of ~96 possible regular-season games from 2008 through 2013 (~70%). Last NFL season: 2013.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 67 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 4 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 22 |
| Rushing | 5 att, 54 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 211 rec, 2,849 yds, 19 TD |
| Defense | 2 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2013 |
The 2008 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2008 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 181 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.59 s |
| Bench press | 16 reps |
| Vertical | 32" |
| Broad jump | 117" |
| 3-cone | 7.34 s |
| Shuttle | 4.27 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #53 overall (#7 WR) |
Picked around him 2008 redraft
| 92 | Cliff Avril | redraft #21 |
| 93 | Philip Wheeler | redraft #53 |
| 94 | Kevin O'Connell | redraft #219 |
| 96 | Chad Rinehart | redraft #74 |
| 97 | Andre Caldwell | redraft #108 |
| 98 | Thomas DeCoud | redraft #32 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.