Mardy Gilyard
WR, Cincinnati · 2010 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #99 (STL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 19 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2010 through 2012 (~40%). Last NFL season: 2012.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Cincinnati: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.61 40-yard dash at 187 lbs: faster than 6% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 19 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 1 |
| Receiving | 8 rec, 78 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 5 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2012 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 187 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.61 s |
| Vertical | 39" |
| Broad jump | 116" |
| 3-cone | 6.92 s |
| Shuttle | 4.4 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.3" / 9.1" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 96 | Brandon Ghee | redraft #181 |
| 97 | Rennie Curran | redraft #200 |
| 98 | Mike Johnson | redraft #174 |
| 100 | Everson Griffen | redraft #16 |
| 101 | Mike Williams | redraft #67 |
| 102 | Darryl Sharpton | redraft #116 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.