Logan Woodside
QB, Toledo · 2018 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #249 (CIN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 13 of ~99 possible regular-season games from 2018 through 2023 (~13%). Last NFL season: 2023.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #210 overall (#10 at his position), but he lasted until pick #249: teams let him slide 39 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Toledo: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.79 40-yard dash at 213 lbs: faster than 53% of QBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 13 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 0.0 |
| Passing | 4/7, 34 yds, undefined TD, 1 INT |
| Rushing | 14 att, 10 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2023 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 213 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.79 s |
| Vertical | 31.5" |
| Broad jump | 103" |
| 3-cone | 6.94 s |
| Shuttle | 4.15 s |
| Arm / hand | 31" / 9.75" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #210 overall (#10 QB) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 246 | Joshua Frazier | redraft #253 |
| 247 | Logan Cooke | redraft #95 |
| 248 | Kendall Donnerson | redraft #254 |
| 250 | Ryan Izzo | redraft #192 |
| 251 | Justin Jackson | redraft #128 |
| 252 | Rod Taylor | redraft #255 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.