Kyle Van Noy
LB, BYU · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #40 (DET)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
LB (LB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.8% of the time (701 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 178 of ~197 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2025 (career total from PFR, which may already include some 2026 games) (~90%).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #54 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#40). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
BYU: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.71 40-yard dash at 243 lbs: faster than 30% of LBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 178 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 8 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 62 |
| Defense | 382 tackles, 58.5 sacks, 4 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position LB | 56.8% n=701 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 243 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.71 s |
| Bench press | 21 reps |
| Vertical | 32.5" |
| Broad jump | 112" |
| 3-cone | 7.22 s |
| Shuttle | 4.2 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.5" / 9.5" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #54 overall (#6 LB) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 37 | Ra'Shede Hageman | redraft #123 |
| 38 | Austin Seferian-Jenkins | redraft #121 |
| 39 | Marqise Lee | redraft #88 |
| 41 | Lamarcus Joyner | redraft #63 |
| 42 | Jordan Matthews | redraft #72 |
| 43 | Weston Richburg | redraft #47 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.