Kevin Norwood
WR, Alabama · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #123 (SEA)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 10 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2015 (~31%). Last NFL season: 2015.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #109 (#18 at his position), close to where he went (#123).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Alabama: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.48 40-yard dash at 198 lbs: faster than 44% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 10 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 1 |
| Receiving | 9 rec, 102 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 198 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.48 s |
| Bench press | 8 reps |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| 3-cone | 6.68 s |
| Shuttle | 4.32 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.1" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #109 overall (#18 WR) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 120 | Logan Thomas | redraft #95 |
| 121 | Carl Bradford | redraft #215 |
| 122 | Marqueston Huff | redraft #157 |
| 124 | De'Anthony Thomas | redraft #129 |
| 125 | Walt Aikens | redraft #136 |
| 126 | Khairi Fortt | redraft #223 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.