Jonathan Lewis
DT, Virginia Tech · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #177 (ARI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 4 of ~16 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2006 (~25%). Last NFL season: 2006.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #109 overall (#12 at his position), but he lasted until pick #177: teams let him slide 68 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Virginia Tech: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.97 40-yard dash at 309 lbs: faster than 39% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 4 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Defense | 3 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2006 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 309 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.97 s |
| Bench press | 24 reps |
| Vertical | 33.5" |
| Broad jump | 111" |
| 3-cone | 7.4 s |
| Shuttle | 4.4 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #109 overall (#12 DT) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 174 | Josh Lay | redraft #236 |
| 175 | Delanie Walker | redraft #52 |
| 176 | Kevin Boothe | redraft #78 |
| 178 | Keith Ellison | redraft #95 |
| 179 | Dee McCann | redraft #237 |
| 180 | Lawrence Vickers | redraft #172 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.