Joe Tryon-Shoyinka
OLB, Washington · 2021 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #32 (TAM)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
OLB (LB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.8% of the time (701 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 82 of ~85 possible regular-season games from 2021 through 2025 (~96%).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #37 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#32).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Washington: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.69 40-yard dash at 259 lbs: faster than 38% of LBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 82 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 23 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 23.0 |
| Defense | 97 tackles, 15 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2025 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2021 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2021 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Position LB | 56.8% n=701 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 259 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.69 s |
| Bench press | 22 reps |
| Vertical | 35" |
| Broad jump | 116" |
| 3-cone | 7.18 s |
| Shuttle | 4.36 s |
| Arm / hand | 34" / 10.25" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #37 overall (#4 OLB) |
Picked around him 2021 redraft
| 29 | Eric Stokes | redraft #75 |
| 30 | Gregory Rousseau | redraft #12 |
| 31 | Odafe Oweh | redraft #71 |
| 33 | Tyson Campbell | redraft #38 |
| 34 | Elijah Moore | redraft #84 |
| 35 | Javonte Williams | redraft #30 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.