Elijah Moore
WR, Mississippi · 2021 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #34 (NYJ)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #23 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#34).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Mississippi: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.35 40-yard dash at 178 lbs: faster than 89% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 70 of ~85 possible regular-season games from 2021 through 2025 (~82%). Plus 4 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 74 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 15 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.3 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 15.3 |
| Rushing | 26 att, 95 yds, 2 TD |
| Receiving | 210 rec, 2,278 yds, 9 TD |
| Defense | 4 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2021 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2021 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 178 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.35 s |
| Bench press | 17 reps |
| Vertical | 36" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| 3-cone | 6.63 s |
| Shuttle | 4.07 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.13" / 9.38" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #23 overall (#4 WR) |
Picked around him 2021 redraft
| 31 | Odafe Oweh | redraft #71 |
| 32 | Joe Tryon-Shoyinka | redraft #55 |
| 33 | Tyson Campbell | redraft #38 |
| 35 | Javonte Williams | redraft #30 |
| 36 | Jevon Holland | redraft #37 |
| 37 | Landon Dickerson | redraft #16 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.