Joe McKnight
RB, USC · 2010 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #112 (NYJ)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 41 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2010 through 2014 (~51%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #72 overall (#6 at his position), but he lasted until pick #112: teams let him slide 40 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
USC: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.40 40-yard dash at 198 lbs: faster than 87% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 41 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 7 |
| Rushing | 113 att, 505 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 23 rec, 241 yds, 2 TD |
| Defense | 8 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 198 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.40 s |
| Bench press | 18 reps |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 120" |
| Arm / hand | 31.6" / 9.1" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #72 overall (#6 RB) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 109 | Corey Wootton | redraft #102 |
| 110 | Darrell Stuckey | redraft #128 |
| 111 | Walter Thurmond | redraft #111 |
| 113 | Aaron Hernandez | redraft #77 |
| 114 | Dennis Pitta | redraft #92 |
| 115 | Phillip Dillard | redraft #219 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.