Jerricho Cotchery
WR, North Carolina St. · 2004 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #108 (NYJ)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 175 of ~192 possible regular-season games from 2004 through 2015 (~91%). Last NFL season: 2015.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #153 (#22 at his position); he went #108, 45 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
North Carolina St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.54 40-yard dash at 212 lbs: faster than 22% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 175 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 51 |
| Rushing | 22 att, 93 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 524 rec, 6,623 yds, 34 TD |
| Defense | 20 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 212 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.54 s |
| Vertical | 36" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| 3-cone | 6.93 s |
| Shuttle | 3.91 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #153 overall (#22 WR) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 105 | Samie Parker | redraft #100 |
| 106 | Luke McCown | redraft #124 |
| 107 | Kendyll Pope | redraft #218 |
| 109 | Tim Euhus | redraft #176 |
| 110 | Nathan Vasher | redraft #63 |
| 111 | Will Allen | redraft #75 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.