Jacquizz Rodgers
RB, Oregon St. · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #145 (ATL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, age, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #105 overall (#11 at his position), but he lasted until pick #145: teams let him slide 40 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 110 of ~128 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2018 (~86%). Last NFL season: 2018.
- School
Oregon St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.59 40-yard dash at 196 lbs: faster than 31% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 110 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 24 |
| Rushing | 545 att, 2,067 yds, 9 TD |
| Receiving | 216 rec, 1,590 yds, 5 TD |
| Defense | 11 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 6", 196 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.59 s |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 113" |
| 3-cone | 7.31 s |
| Shuttle | 4.26 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.4" / 8.699" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #105 overall (#11 RB) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 142 | Karl Klug | redraft #89 |
| 143 | Josh Thomas | redraft #125 |
| 144 | Shiloh Keo | redraft #120 |
| 146 | DeJon Gomes | redraft #136 |
| 147 | Rod Issac | redraft #226 |
| 148 | Denarius Moore | redraft #86 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.