Greg Jennings
WR, Western Michigan · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #52 (GNB)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 143 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2015 (~89%). Last NFL season: 2015.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #68 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#52). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Western Michigan: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.42 40-yard dash at 197 lbs: faster than 69% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 143 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 8 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 66 |
| Rushing | 1 att, -1 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 571 rec, 8,291 yds, 64 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 197 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.42 s |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 117" |
| 3-cone | 6.68 s |
| Shuttle | 4.16 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #68 overall (#6 WR) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 49 | Kellen Clemens | redraft #127 |
| 50 | Marcus McNeill | redraft #36 |
| 51 | Ryan Cook | redraft #86 |
| 53 | Anthony Fasano | redraft #88 |
| 54 | Bernard Pollard | redraft #64 |
| 55 | Andrew Whitworth | redraft #3 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.