Eric Shelton
RB, Louisville · 2005 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #54 (CAR)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 9 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2005 through 2006 (~28%). Last NFL season: 2006.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #61 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#54).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Louisville: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.53 40-yard dash at 246 lbs: faster than 50% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 9 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Rushing | 8 att, 23 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 1 rec, 6 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2006 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 246 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.53 s |
| Vertical | 38.5" |
| Broad jump | 124" |
| 3-cone | 7.44 s |
| Shuttle | 4.08 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #61 overall (#5 RB) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 51 | Nick Collins | redraft #27 |
| 52 | Khalif Barnes | redraft #21 |
| 53 | Dan Cody | redraft #215 |
| 55 | Roscoe Parrish | redraft #101 |
| 56 | Darrent Williams | redraft #114 |
| 57 | Justin Miller | redraft #99 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.