Ed Dickson
TE, Oregon · 2010 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #70 (BAL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #91 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#70).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Oregon: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.59 40-yard dash at 249 lbs: faster than 86% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 134 of ~144 possible regular-season games from 2010 through 2018 (~93%). Last NFL season: 2018.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 134 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 7 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 16 |
| Rushing | 1 att, 9 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 190 rec, 2,128 yds, 15 TD |
| Defense | 14 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 249 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.59 s |
| Bench press | 23 reps |
| Vertical | 34" |
| Broad jump | 115" |
| 3-cone | 7.32 s |
| Shuttle | 4.59 s |
| Arm / hand | 33" / 9.8" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #91 overall (#6 TE) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 67 | Myron Lewis | redraft #187 |
| 68 | Jon Asamoah | redraft #79 |
| 69 | Jared Veldheer | redraft #35 |
| 71 | Morgan Burnett | redraft #52 |
| 72 | Alex Carrington | redraft #134 |
| 73 | John Jerry | redraft #43 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.