Dri Archer
WR, Kent St. · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #97 (PIT)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #98 (#9 at his position), close to where he went (#97).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Kent St.: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.26 40-yard dash at 173 lbs: faster than 99% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 20 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2015 (~63%). Last NFL season: 2015.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 20 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Rushing | 10 att, 40 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 7 rec, 23 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 8", 173 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.26 s |
| Bench press | 20 reps |
| Vertical | 38" |
| Broad jump | 122" |
| 3-cone | 6.86 s |
| Shuttle | 4.06 s |
| Arm / hand | 31" / 8.7" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #98 overall (#9 WR) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 94 | Terrance West | redraft #113 |
| 95 | Michael Schofield | redraft #39 |
| 96 | Jerick McKinnon | redraft #52 |
| 98 | Richard Rodgers | redraft #97 |
| 99 | Crockett Gillmore | redraft #152 |
| 100 | Brandon Thomas | redraft #228 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.