Devin Lloyd
LB, Utah · 2022 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #27 (JAX)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position, availability. Details below.
The 2022 class is only 4 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Position
LB (LB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.8% of the time (701 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 62 of ~68 possible regular-season games from 2022 through 2025 (~91%). Plus 5 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #20 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#27). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Utah: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.66 40-yard dash at 237 lbs: faster than 46% of LBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 67 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 4 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 35 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 2 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 37.0 |
| Defense | 254 tackles, 5.5 sacks, 11 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2022 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2022 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position LB | 56.8% n=701 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 237 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.66 s |
| Bench press | 25 reps |
| Vertical | 35" |
| Broad jump | 126" |
| Arm / hand | 33" / 9.13" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #20 overall (#2 LB) |
Picked around him 2022 redraft
| 24 | Tyler Smith | redraft #11 |
| 25 | Tyler Linderbaum | redraft #5 |
| 26 | Jermaine Johnson II | redraft #55 |
| 28 | Devonte Wyatt | redraft #108 |
| 29 | Cole Strange | redraft #71 |
| 30 | George Karlaftis III | redraft #21 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.