Demarcus Robinson
WR, Florida · 2016 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #126 (KAN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 161 of ~165 possible regular-season games from 2016 through 2025 (~98%). Plus 2 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #245 (#38 at his position); he went #126, 119 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Florida: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.59 40-yard dash at 203 lbs: faster than 9% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 163 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 27 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.4 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 27.4 |
| Rushing | 2 att, 29 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 277 rec, 3,373 yds, 29 TD |
| Defense | 10 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 203 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.59 s |
| Vertical | 34.5" |
| Broad jump | 123" |
| 3-cone | 6.77 s |
| Shuttle | 4.19 s |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #245 overall (#38 WR) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 123 | Jerald Hawkins | redraft #183 |
| 124 | Deon Bush | redraft #135 |
| 125 | Antonio Morrison | redraft #106 |
| 127 | Deiondre' Hall | redraft #194 |
| 128 | Evan Boehm | redraft #116 |
| 129 | Derrick Kindred | redraft #133 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.