Dashon Goldson
DB, Washington · 2007 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #126 (SFO)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #188 (#15 at his position); he went #126, 62 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Washington: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.60 40-yard dash at 205 lbs: faster than 11% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 127 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2007 through 2016 (~79%). Last NFL season: 2016.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 127 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 7 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 41 |
| Rushing | 2 att, 53 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 466 tackles, 3 sacks, 16 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2016 |
The 2007 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2007 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 205 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.60 s |
| Bench press | 12 reps |
| Vertical | 34.5" |
| Broad jump | 115" |
| 3-cone | 7.37 s |
| Shuttle | 4.46 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #188 overall (#15 DB) |
Picked around him 2007 redraft
| 123 | Fred Bennett | redraft #131 |
| 124 | Mansfield Wrotto | redraft #139 |
| 125 | Jermon Bushrod | redraft #15 |
| 127 | Kareem Brown | redraft #225 |
| 128 | Chris Davis | redraft #204 |
| 129 | Scott Chandler | redraft #77 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.